They have taken 2.0 points a game from these 10 recorded matches, scoring 22 and conceding 14. The rating sitting behind that is 1610.
Benchmarked to the 22-team field they come out 62 points clear of average, scores 0.16 above it in attack, concedes 0.06 above it in defence. The scoring record credits Nicolas Jackson with 5 goals in the 2026/27 Premier League so far. Current rating: 1610, drawn from 51 matches in the model's corpus. In our record of their last 43 games across competitions, the biggest margin in their favour is 6 goals, from a 6-0. In our record of their last 43 games across competitions, home and away the record divides into 12-3-7 and 10-5-6. Averaged out that is 2.20 goals a game at one end and 1.40 at the other. The two halves read 1.23 and 1.06, where a lower second number is stronger. Across their last 43 matches in our records, all competitions included, their longest unbeaten stretch ran to 8 matches. The latest 43 matches we have recorded across competitions leave them 72-62 on goals. The run carries a +8 goal difference. Against the 1500 seed they sit 110 points above.
Everything here comes from our elo-poisson-v1 rating, not a third-party statistic.
Team Overview
Our Elo rating for Aston Villa is 1610; they are in the top quarter of the Premier League field. Aston Villa lost to Brighton Hove 0-4 in the Premier League (2026/27), then lost to Arsenal 0-1, drew with Hull City 0-0, lost to Nottingham 1-2, beat Tottenham 3-2, drew with Brentford 2-2, beat Newcastle 1-0, beat Man City 2-1 and drew with Fulham 1-1. Aston Villa are unbeaten in the latest 5 matches of their recorded form in that 2026/27 run. Our match records include goals from Nicolas Jackson (8), Emiliano Buendía (3), Johan Manzambi (3) and Ross Barkley (3). Aston Villa kept 9 clean sheets over the latest 43 recorded matches across competitions, a 20.9% share. Their heaviest win was 6-0 on 14 October 2026. Their worst defeat was 0-4 on 23 August 2026. Aston Villa's Elo rose 79 points between 23 August 2026 and 3 November 2026, moving from 1531 to 1610. Aston Villa rate 62 Elo points above the other Premier League sides' average.
Aston Villa are number 16 of 20 teams in the 2026/27 Premier League table, with 5 points from 6 matches. That comes from 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats, with 6 goals scored, 11 goals conceded and a goal difference of -5. In the 2026/27 Champions League table the side ranks 11 of 36 teams, with 3 points from 1 match. The record is 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats, with 3 goals for, 2 goals against and a difference of +1.
The 2026/27 Premier League and Champions League goal list for Aston Villa is headed by Nicolas Jackson (3), John McGinn (2) and Emiliano Buendía (2). The side has goals from 5 players; in total, 9 goals.
Aston Villa have 47 players in our registered-player data, split into 7 goalkeepers, 14 defenders, 11 midfielders and 15 forwards. The median age of the registered players is 22.0, within a range of 17 to 35. The youngest player is Brian Madjo, aged 17, and the oldest is Marco Bizot, aged 35. The largest group among the registered players is England (18). Amadou Onana has the greatest recorded height of the registered players, 192 cm.
Figures for the 2026/27 Premier League on this page, from the table to the scorers and the squad, are as of 14 October 2026.
From 2010/11 to 2026/27, we hold 727 matches of Aston Villa over 17 seasons and 4 competitions. The 688 matches with a final result break down into 253 wins, 164 draws and 271 defeats for the side: 37% won. Those matches produced 895 goals for and 980 goals against, an average of 1.3 scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Among matches with a result: no goals conceded in 26%, no goals scored in 28%. The biggest win we hold is 7-2 against Liverpool on 4 October 2020, in the Premier League. The heaviest defeat is 0-8 against Chelsea in the Premier League on 23 December 2012. Away from home, the side has 102 wins, 78 draws and 161 defeats; at home the figures are 151 wins, 86 draws and 110 defeats. Most matches in one calendar year: 2018, with 50 matches on record. Between 23 February 2019 and 28 April 2019, the side was unbeaten in 12 matches, a record in our data. Between 2 March 2019 and 22 April 2019, the side won 10 matches in succession, the longest winning run in our data. Across 3 seasons of the Championship with a final table, the side’s best finish is position 4 in 2017/18 and the lowest position 13 in 2016/17. Over 13 seasons of the Premier League with a final table in our data, Aston Villa finished as high as position 4 (2023/24) and as low as position 20 (2015/16). Over 14 seasons of the Premier League, the side has 167 wins, 119 draws and 214 defeats in 500 matches with a result, goals 624-760. Over 3 seasons of the Championship, the side has 63 wins, 42 draws and 39 defeats in 144 matches with a result, goals 206-156. Over 15 seasons of the FA Cup, the side has 14 wins, 2 draws and 15 defeats in 31 matches with a result, goals 39-50. The club’s first match in our data is Aston Villa 3-0 West Ham, Premier League, on 14 August 2010.
No team has faced Aston Villa more often in our records than Tottenham, 30 matches. The record in those matches is 10 wins, 1 draw and 19 defeats for the side, goals 31-59. They last met on 19 September 2026, Tottenham 2-3 Aston Villa in the Premier League. The club has also met Arsenal 29 times, with 8 wins, 2 draws and 19 defeats. The club has also met Newcastle 29 times, with 7 wins, 9 draws and 13 defeats.